BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Murray St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 83 Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength =  118.75
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (1-7) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-9)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    L   * 104.46  17  45   1B  32 ( 7- 5) East Tennessee St     -14.29    -12.59  -13.71                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    L   * 115.78  24  45   1B  22 ( 9- 4) SE Louisiana           -2.97     -7.69  -18.03                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    L     117.93  21  37   1A 133 ( 1-11) Georgia St             -0.82    -19.04  -15.18                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L     110.20  10  45   1A 101 ( 9- 5) Jacksonville St        -8.55    -31.98  -26.45                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    L * * 115.94  24  49   1B  18 (10- 5) South Dakota           -2.81    -26.04  -22.19                      
 6 10/11/2025 Home    L * * 127.75  32  46   1B   6 (12- 5) Illinois St             9.00    -15.08  -23.00                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    L * * 120.97  14  35   1B   7 ( 9- 5) South Dakota St         2.22    -38.60  -23.22                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    L * * 108.84  17  51   1B  12 ( 8- 5) Youngstown St          -9.92    -26.13  -24.08                      
 9 11/01/2025 Home    L * * 121.14   7  27   1B   8 ( 7- 5) Southern Illinois       2.39    -29.94  -22.39                      
10 11/08/2025 Away    L * * 112.70  14  31   1B  43 ( 3- 9) Northern Iowa          -6.05    -12.43  -10.95                      
11 11/15/2025 Home    L * * 130.34  17  35   1B   4 ( 8- 6) North Dakota           11.59    -36.20  -29.59                      
12 11/22/2025 Away    W * * 138.96  31  17   1B  63 ( 3- 9) Indiana St             20.21    -12.06   -6.21                      
      Averages             118.75  19.0 38.6

Best game:  138.96 = 14 point win over Indiana St
Worst game: 104.46 = 28 point loss to East Tennessee St
Team stdev:   9.83